Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000680 0.000773 0.000872 0.000983 0.001106 0.001237 0.001386
2025-09-28 0.000524 0.000651 0.000794 0.000966 0.001168 0.001394 0.001667
2025-10-05 0.000461 0.000606 0.000777 0.000993 0.001254 0.001557 0.001933
2025-10-12 0.000408 0.000565 0.000758 0.001010 0.001323 0.001699 0.002177
2025-10-19 0.000356 0.000518 0.000724 0.001001 0.001357 0.001793 0.002361
2025-10-26 0.000312 0.000476 0.000692 0.000990 0.001383 0.001875 0.002529
2025-11-02 0.000283 0.000450 0.000677 0.000998 0.001431 0.001985 0.002733
2025-11-09 0.000255 0.000423 0.000657 0.000998 0.001466 0.002076 0.002914
2025-11-16 0.000222 0.000384 0.000618 0.000967 0.001458 0.002109 0.003019
2025-11-23 0.000195 0.000352 0.000586 0.000944 0.001458 0.002150 0.003133
2025-11-30 0.000176 0.000332 0.000569 0.000939 0.001482 0.002224 0.003291
2025-12-07 0.000160 0.000314 0.000554 0.000937 0.001509 0.002302 0.003455
2025-12-14 0.000144 0.000293 0.000534 0.000927 0.001523 0.002363 0.003600
2025-12-21 0.000128 0.000272 0.000511 0.000910 0.001527 0.002409 0.003725
2025-12-28 0.000122 0.000268 0.000515 0.000935 0.001594 0.002546 0.003980
2026-01-04 0.000114 0.000260 0.000514 0.000951 0.001647 0.002664 0.004209
2026-01-11 0.000103 0.000245 0.000498 0.000943 0.001662 0.002727 0.004361
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000230 0.000482 0.000933 0.001672 0.002782 0.004502
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000222 0.000476 0.000940 0.001712 0.002880 0.004708
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000212 0.000467 0.000940 0.001737 0.002958 0.004884
2026-02-08 0.000070 0.000195 0.000441 0.000911 0.001715 0.002962 0.004951
2026-02-15 0.000062 0.000180 0.000421 0.000888 0.001703 0.002981 0.005039
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000171 0.000411 0.000884 0.001720 0.003045 0.005197